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Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Science Vol $23,433 50 traders

<400mm0%
525-550mm10%
400-425mm1%
425-450mm0%
$23,433 Vol. Science

Outcomes

10
Chance
<400mm
<1%
400-425mm
<1%
425-450mm
<1%
450-475mm
<1%
475-500mm
1% ▼ 2
500-525mm
8%
525-550mm
10% ▼ 3
550-575mm
8% ▼ 7
575-600mm
11% ▲ 3
600mm+
64% ▼ 9

Recent trades

40
  • 0x8697…190d BUY No $45.82 8h ago
  • 0x8ec7…4a76 SELL No $26.49 10h ago
  • 0x3d05…acde SELL Yes $0.03 Jul 22
  • 0xbfba…583c SELL Yes $0.01 Jul 22
  • 0x1f66…4c8d SELL Yes $0.16 Jul 22
  • 0x0f37…1410 BUY No $4.95 Jul 22
  • 0x7b22…c04e BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
  • 0x7b22…c04e BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
  • 0x7b22…c04e BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
  • 0x9507…7b04 BUY No $13.85 Jul 21
  • 0x9507…7b04 BUY No $80.31 Jul 21
  • 0x1250…4444 SELL Yes $1.05 Jul 21
  • 0x6868…5198 SELL Yes $1.03 Jul 21
  • 0x8697…190d BUY No $99.50 Jul 21
  • 0x8697…190d BUY No $98.40 Jul 21
  • 0x8697…190d SELL No $99.90 Jul 21
  • 0x8697…190d BUY No $624.33 Jul 21
  • 0x7a77…c39b SELL No $166.86 Jul 21
  • 0xbbe5…fe4a SELL No $60.10 Jul 20
  • 0x6868…5198 SELL Yes $0.19 Jul 20
  • 0x6868…5198 SELL Yes $0.24 Jul 20
  • 0x8931…a90c BUY No $542.13 Jul 20
  • 0x8931…a90c BUY No $808.08 Jul 20
  • 0x33a1…5cc6 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 20
  • 0xb633…51d4 SELL Yes $0.53 Jul 20
  • 0xb633…51d4 SELL Yes $0.23 Jul 20
  • 0xb633…51d4 SELL Yes $0.05 Jul 20
  • 0xcdd4…4cf8 SELL No $48.62 Jul 20
  • 0xad50…3122 SELL Yes $0.98 Jul 20
  • 0xbbe5…fe4a BUY No $150.00 Jul 20
  • 0x789c…0d10 SELL No $31.08 Jul 20
  • 0x8697…190d BUY No $99.70 Jul 20
  • 0xde72…b5b1 SELL Yes $0.15 Jul 20
  • 0x702e…4357 SELL Yes $0.20 Jul 20
  • 0xc03e…a2eb SELL Yes $1.22 Jul 20
  • 0x8697…190d BUY No $185.44 Jul 20
  • 0x8697…190d BUY No $99.40 Jul 20
  • 0x8697…190d BUY No $99.70 Jul 20
  • 0x2851…6b8c SELL No $5.01 Jul 20
  • 0x1f66…4c8d SELL Yes $3.20 Jul 20

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between July 1 and July 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in July 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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