Russia nuclear test by...?

Politics Vol $6,140,355 122 traders

Recent trades

40

Trader Side Amount Time

• 0x725b…ee35 SELL Yes $56.52 3h ago
• 0xa780…52d3 SELL Yes $1.73 3h ago
• 0xa780…52d3 SELL Yes $54.99 3h ago
• 0xa780…52d3 SELL Yes $34.85 3h ago
• 0x0da8…54af BUY No $20.02 3h ago
• 0x725b…ee35 SELL Yes $38.48 3h ago
• 0xe5b1…5e80 SELL Yes $45.72 3h ago
• 0xe5b1…5e80 SELL Yes $46.74 3h ago
• 0x6573…7571 SELL Yes $42.18 3h ago
• 0x6573…7571 SELL Yes $52.82 3h ago
• 0xbfb7…2714 SELL Yes $95.00 3h ago
• 0xf7cf…54c0 SELL Yes $95.00 3h ago
• 0x046b…b42a SELL Yes $95.00 4h ago
• 0x2904…219e SELL Yes $95.00 4h ago
• 0x196b…7349 SELL Yes $95.00 4h ago
• 0x586f…8f8a SELL Yes $95.00 4h ago
• 0xf740…2570 BUY No $9.27 4h ago
• 0x71a3…67c7 BUY No $352.05 4h ago
• 0x6514…49fb BUY No $552.96 4h ago
• 0x725b…ee35 BUY Yes $2.58 4h ago
• 0xc0fe…18cf BUY No $447.72 4h ago
• 0x634d…8c38 BUY No $462.26 4h ago
• 0x0da8…54af BUY No $19.11 4h ago
• 0x2468…814c BUY No $368.55 4h ago
• 0x70d5…4bf2 BUY No $541.45 4h ago
• 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $969.19 11h ago
• 0x0907…9c94 SELL Yes $6.56 Jul 22
• 0x836f…906e BUY No $96.40 Jul 22
• 0xe489…f577 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 19
• 0x07e1…27af BUY No $200.00 Jul 18
• 0x07e1…27af BUY No $600.00 Jul 18
• 0xdf27…e6e4 SELL No $98.80 Jul 18
• 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $48.20 Jul 18
• 0xdf27…e6e4 SELL No $72.40 Jul 18
• 0x23d4…1d88 SELL Yes $26.46 Jul 16
• 0x6073…0a3c SELL Yes $26.46 Jul 16
• 0x79ab…3f89 SELL Yes $26.93 Jul 16
• 0x4e87…1bbf SELL Yes $26.93 Jul 16
• 0x2495…09ae BUY No $374.03 Jul 16
• 0x358b…1555 BUY No $347.04 Jul 16

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield. Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution. Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia. The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

Write a comment

Post

huyu Feb 10

response to perceived U.S.

adonpoli Nov 11

i am just selling my nov 30 if

adonpoli Nov 11

any yes holder want to sell his worthless share

0xcoincocck Nov 7

OFC they will! The most incredible thing about Russian nuclear missiles is that there’s dude inside, steering it toward the target with pedals and a steering wheel

huyu Feb 10

good

Sheriden Nov 6

Russia's Defense Minister has emphasized the need to prepare for full-scale nuclear tests in response to perceived U.S.

PoppyDove Nov 6

Russia's covert nuclear test in the Arctic by early 2026 is rattling NATO's deterrence strategies as satellite anomalies spark urgent verification protocols.