Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Recent trades
25- 0xcdf8…b8ea BUY No $1740.00 5m ago
- 0x2c6f…deee BUY No $1392.00 11m ago
- 0x819f…f3e7 BUY No $870.00 11m ago
- 0xe889…6ec0 BUY No $1.00 1h ago
- 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL No $5.16 1h ago
- 0xba8f…ad42 SELL Yes $28.99 1h ago
- 0x53af…671c BUY No $6.00 2h ago
- 0x0bbe…552d SELL No $4.30 2h ago
- 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL No $5.16 2h ago
- 0xf0f8…325f BUY No $17860.60 2h ago
- 0xee61…53e8 BUY No $12.47 3h ago
- 0xae78…9275 BUY No $18.00 3h ago
- 0x9ac8…c973 BUY No $8.70 4h ago
- 0xad4f…4e00 BUY Yes $1.40 4h ago
- 0x993b…deda BUY No $174.00 4h ago
- 0x993b…deda BUY No $8.70 4h ago
- 0x0c2c…dce3 BUY No $10.00 4h ago
- 0x260d…98f9 BUY No $154.68 4h ago
- 0x2282…73e8 BUY No $165.30 4h ago
- 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL No $5.16 4h ago
- 0xabce…2f87 BUY Yes $28.00 5h ago
- 0xcaff…e3ad SELL No $34.40 5h ago
- 0x1648…a676 BUY No $100.00 5h ago
- 0x0739…aba8 SELL No $6.02 5h ago
- 0xfe5e…b9b4 BUY No $2.00 5h ago
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for August 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
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