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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Politics Vol $19,733,696 394 traders

Yes1%
No99%
$19,733,696 Vol. Politics
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1%

Recent trades

25
  • 0xcdf8…b8ea SELL No $6919.77 5m ago
  • 0xc6e5…89fb SELL No $19.63 7m ago
  • 0xb483…0880 SELL No $19.87 7m ago
  • 0x2500…6a9a SELL No $30.57 7m ago
  • 0x2865…b66d SELL No $19.45 7m ago
  • 0x56e7…7c0b SELL No $2708.68 7m ago
  • 0x1987…6487 SELL No $0.90 12m ago
  • 0xb48b…04eb SELL No $623.70 14m ago
  • 0xd220…c03d SELL No $0.01 15m ago
  • 0xc455…4d89 BUY No $3.40 16m ago
  • 0x9351…9e4d SELL No $198.00 16m ago
  • 0xd220…c03d SELL No $0.03 28m ago
  • 0xd220…c03d SELL No $54.08 28m ago
  • 0x6e02…c1f9 SELL No $32.96 28m ago
  • 0x162f…798d SELL Yes $446.80 28m ago
  • 0x6e02…c1f9 BUY No $33.00 28m ago
  • 0x2500…6a9a SELL No $8.93 34m ago
  • 0xa3c7…3e1f SELL No $12.02 35m ago
  • 0x3d61…6c1f SELL No $19.45 36m ago
  • 0x3d61…6c1f SELL No $19.52 36m ago
  • 0x2865…b66d SELL No $20.09 36m ago
  • 0xb483…0880 SELL No $19.52 36m ago
  • 0xe5d6…bb1a SELL No $21.67 36m ago
  • 0xf6dd…8bb5 SELL No $6.78 36m ago
  • 0x2500…6a9a SELL No $21.67 36m ago

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for July 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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