← Markets
Chance
UK election called by...?
March 310%
December 310%
June 30, 20260%
June 300%
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Outcomes
6March 31 Resolved
0%
June 30 Resolved
0%
December 31 Resolved
0%
December 31, 2026
16%
▲ 3
June 30, 2027
30%
▲ 1
June 30, 2026 Resolved
0%
Recent trades
40- 0x9182…3368 BUY No $10.00 4h ago
- 0x9182…3368 BUY Yes $1.00 4h ago
- 0x9182…3368 BUY No $10.00 4h ago
- 0x9182…3368 BUY No $10.00 4h ago
- 0xc0c2…b14d BUY No $1.09 6h ago
- 0xfd3d…684d BUY Yes $30.00 6h ago
- 0x8031…c84c SELL No $4.74 13h ago
- 0x9182…3368 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 22
- 0xd96a…d8ce SELL Yes $0.60 Jul 21
- 0x993b…deda BUY No $117.48 Jul 21
- 0x0e32…535b BUY No $468.00 Jul 21
- 0x993b…deda BUY No $78.00 Jul 21
- 0x825c…dfa0 SELL Yes $0.66 Jul 21
- 0x9182…3368 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 21
- 0x3c5a…022d SELL No $4.65 Jul 21
- 0x2807…f131 BUY No $1.10 Jul 21
- 0x8031…c84c BUY No $4.56 Jul 21
- 0x929a…5ab4 SELL No $117.51 Jul 21
- 0x1fb2…a893 BUY No $103.54 Jul 21
- 0xfdfa…7fa8 BUY Yes $1.40 Jul 21
- 0x0708…f218 BUY Yes $5.00 Jul 21
- 0x993b…deda BUY No $3.65 Jul 20
- 0x993b…deda BUY No $80.00 Jul 20
- 0x993b…deda BUY No $80.00 Jul 20
- 0x993b…deda BUY No $262.41 Jul 20
- 0x993b…deda BUY No $162.00 Jul 20
- 0x929a…5ab4 BUY No $125.00 Jul 20
- 0x70e4…9b0b BUY No $15.00 Jul 20
- 0x1fb2…a893 BUY No $106.07 Jul 20
- 0xfdfa…7fa8 BUY Yes $8.00 Jul 20
- 0xe856…3789 BUY No $5.00 Jul 17
- 0x8b89…eaae SELL Yes $0.61 Jul 17
- 0x9182…3368 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 16
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $3.35 Jul 15
- 0x993b…deda BUY No $7.40 Jul 12
- 0x993b…deda BUY No $13.41 Jul 11
- 0x3b75…a2b1 SELL Yes $2.42 Jul 10
- 0x8b89…eaae BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 10
- 0x1fb2…a893 BUY No $85.01 Jul 9
- 0x9299…ecc2 SELL No $3.15 Jul 9
This is a market on predicting the date when the UK general election will be officially called.
Comments
you know where is drop?
Can we have market for 31 December?
If Andy burnham doesn’t win the bi election, this market will go up
Keir Starmer will resign by May 2026 (Local Elections), as other PMs have resigned due to poor local election results. However, a general election would NOT be held if he resigned, any Labour MP who takes over will see a boost in the polls - since they're not Starmer
A party never voluntarily gives up power in the UK until they're forced to - which would make it 2029.
-$86.79
They are authoritarian. They will never leave.
You're talking about Reform right?
220k signed a petition calling for an immediate GE.
[link removed].uk/news/petition-to-call-an-immediate-general-election-passes-100000-signatures-500062 THis one
Yeah because petitions amount to much. You’ve got to know the electoral system. They only get debated and then rejected the same day unless there’s a majority approval. Why would Labour who has the majority want to call an election and then Labour MPs lose their jobs ? Bit of rationality and knowledge required here.
UK democracy is a flaw democracy. I don’t think anyone is able to overthrow the ruling party given that they (the labor party) are the majority in the parliament
They can continue to rule for the next 5 years regardless of anything that happens to the UK
literally the same in any westminister system i dont see what the “flaw” is
Flaw is that it’s not proportionate representation like the Dutch politics. Westminster model is long out dated and favour the 2 traditional parties. However, they won’t be so keen themselves on changing it 🤣
That assumes Starmers backbenchers dont fall out of line. If they see the writing on the wall, or an opportunity to save their seats away from Starmer's labour, they could paralyse government, eventually forcing a new GE.