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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

NATO Vol $130,701 50 traders

Yes11%
No90%
$130,701 Vol. NATO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
11% ▼ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0xc251…a5d3 BUY No $48.00 Jul 22
  • 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $0.31 Jul 22
  • 0x5923…49cd BUY No $7.42 Jul 21
  • 0xf27d…e6d3 BUY Yes $1.20 Jul 20
  • 0xc251…a5d3 BUY No $100.00 Jul 20
  • 0xf41f…1f7a SELL Yes $0.55 Jul 20
  • 0xd222…fdb5 BUY Yes $2.00 Jul 20
  • 0xc251…a5d3 BUY No $84.00 Jul 20
  • 0x5923…49cd BUY No $9.66 Jul 20
  • 0x9af0…5816 SELL No $9.88 Jul 19
  • 0xd11c…0d06 BUY No $7.66 Jul 19
  • 0x09f7…5439 BUY No $5.51 Jul 19
  • 0x5e45…807f BUY No $4.99 Jul 19
  • 0xf0ea…ad5f BUY No $7.97 Jul 19
  • 0x9af0…5816 BUY No $10.11 Jul 19
  • 0xef0d…7e94 BUY No $11.60 Jul 19
  • 0xafa7…6e67 BUY No $7.61 Jul 19
  • 0xdc70…cc56 BUY No $52.63 Jul 19
  • 0x9af0…5816 SELL No $726.92 Jul 19
  • 0x5923…49cd BUY No $8.19 Jul 19
  • 0x5923…49cd SELL No $8.03 Jul 19
  • 0x5923…49cd SELL No $8.03 Jul 19
  • 0x3bdd…a5c4 SELL Yes $0.97 Jul 16
  • 0x5923…49cd BUY No $5.36 Jul 16
  • 0xd222…fdb5 BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 16

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify). An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.

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