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Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

NATO Vol $19,873 50 traders

Yes3%
No97%
$19,873 Vol. NATO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
3%

Recent trades

25
  • 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $29.46 22h ago
  • 0xa01e…bc09 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 22
  • 0x2a34…56cf SELL No $1.77 Jul 19
  • 0xcf07…77c4 SELL No $1.38 Jul 16
  • 0x22e0…3adb BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 16
  • 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $4.88 Jul 15
  • 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $48.85 Jul 15
  • 0x87c9…13ce SELL No $1.26 Jul 15
  • 0xc10b…e3e0 SELL No $134.14 Jul 15
  • 0x3ea7…7fc0 SELL Yes $0.70 Jul 14
  • 0x7bd2…c9af BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 13
  • 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $490.00 Jul 13
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL Yes $1.05 Jul 13
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL Yes $1.05 Jul 13
  • 0xcf07…77c4 BUY No $1.39 Jul 12
  • 0xf763…1b63 BUY No $1.18 Jul 12
  • 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $979.57 Jul 11
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL Yes $1.00 Jul 11
  • 0x8494…814a SELL Yes $0.42 Jul 10
  • 0x2ee0…4d45 BUY No $1.05 Jul 9
  • 0x596d…781a BUY No $1.45 Jul 9
  • 0x87c9…13ce BUY No $1.28 Jul 9
  • 0x8494…814a SELL Yes $0.90 Jul 9
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $1.33 Jul 9
  • 0x5eec…f4e2 BUY No $1891.77 Jul 9

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine agrees not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify). An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.

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