US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?

Iran Vol $859,039 50 traders

Recent trades

40

Trader Side Amount Time

• 0x1c4c…8d85 SELL Yes $152.00 4m ago
• 0x0787…0ca3 BUY No $10.47 20m ago
• 0x0787…0ca3 BUY No $94.00 20m ago
• 0x449c…879e SELL Yes $60.58 24m ago
• 0x449c…879e SELL Yes $93.89 24m ago
• 0x9e53…5d7a BUY Yes $2.75 32m ago
• 0x6214…20d1 BUY No $100.00 33m ago
• 0xa5db…9348 BUY No $25.29 33m ago
• 0x7fcd…4c61 BUY No $1.99 34m ago
• 0xf5f0…8a6c BUY No $1.50 34m ago
• 0x066d…07bc BUY No $741.66 39m ago
• 0xe51b…cb02 BUY No $13.28 40m ago
• 0xc6fe…fd7f BUY No $40.00 40m ago
• 0xc6fe…fd7f BUY No $80.00 40m ago
• 0x8554…0315 BUY Yes $6.39 42m ago
• 0xbfbd…89e8 BUY No $4.07 44m ago
• 0xc384…8415 BUY Yes $6.29 44m ago
• 0x44de…92db BUY No $3.09 45m ago
• 0x5a0c…6c44 BUY No $3.37 45m ago
• 0x449c…879e SELL Yes $55.00 49m ago
• 0x371f…e090 BUY No $6.38 49m ago
• 0x54b8…709f BUY No $41.16 50m ago
• 0xd84c…bb1b BUY No $4.03 50m ago
• 0xad46…7f71 BUY No $6.69 50m ago
• 0x4fbb…25a7 BUY Yes $4.98 50m ago
• 0x74ca…6646 BUY No $48.71 51m ago
• 0x7f5a…7cdd BUY Yes $6.13 56m ago
• 0x8455…01e5 BUY Yes $5.57 57m ago
• 0xad4d…6ebc BUY No $43.17 57m ago
• 0xd300…8243 BUY No $29.18 57m ago
• 0x06e4…efe7 BUY No $33.39 58m ago
• 0xa9aa…1d56 BUY No $27.11 58m ago
• 0x76b0…417d BUY Yes $6.90 1h ago
• 0xd864…78c7 BUY Yes $1.00 1h ago
• 0xa1af…43d7 BUY No $100.00 1h ago
• 0x118d…67a8 SELL Yes $11.00 1h ago
• 0x15c6…3e34 BUY Yes $2.00 2h ago
• 0x3eb3…23b2 SELL Yes $0.18 2h ago
• 0xdbae…6c46 BUY Yes $6.10 2h ago
• 0x43e2…5fbd BUY Yes $78.00 2h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, cessation, or suspension of the United States' offensive military action against Iran, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease offensive military operations against Iran, including an announcement of a ceasefire, truce, or cessation of hostilities to which the United States is a party, even if some measures remain (for example, the naval blockade, sanctions, or a defensive military posture). A time-limited cessation qualifies, provided it constitutes a general suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. A qualifying announcement need not include a commitment from Iran, provided the end or suspension of US offensive military action is communicated. An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of offensive military action against Iran. For example, a pause limited to a specific area, target, or operation, a halt to a single wave of strikes while broader operations continue, or a reduction in the scope or intensity of operations would not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government's present cessation or suspension of offensive military action against Iran, previously-unannounced prior cessation or suspension of such military action, or definitive decision to cease or suspend such military action. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the end or suspension of US offensive military action against Iran. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an end to US offensive military action against Iran, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference a ceasefire by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of ending or suspending offensive military action against Iran is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or implement an end to military action; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; Announcements or acceptances of a ceasefire attributed only to Iran, mediating states, or any party other than the United States; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional end to military action rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether military action actually ends in practice. Resolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of Defense, the Department of State, and United States Central Command (CENTCOM), or the official representatives of the United States government.

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deadinternettheory 15h ago

We’re in a permanent peace deal