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US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

Iran Vol $1,138,388 50 traders

July 318%
July 170%
July 243%
August 3124%
$1,138,388 Vol. Iran

Outcomes

7
Chance
June 26 Resolved
0%
June 30 Resolved
0% ▼ 1
July 31
8% ▼ 2
July 10 Resolved
0% ▼ 2
August 31
24% ▲ 1
July 17 Resolved
0% ▼ 2
July 24
3% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x39b2…157c SELL No $13.24 58m ago
  • 0xc73b…a6c9 SELL No $0.01 1h ago
  • 0x371c…806c BUY No $1.58 1h ago
  • 0x6934…0aa7 BUY Yes $8.01 2h ago
  • 0x793d…8720 BUY Yes $16.00 2h ago
  • 0x6934…0aa7 BUY Yes $24.00 2h ago
  • 0x97d1…f637 SELL No $5.29 3h ago
  • 0x35cb…8610 SELL No $10.57 3h ago
  • 0x30c5…54c5 BUY No $10.00 4h ago
  • 0x01bb…2c9c BUY No $1.21 5h ago
  • 0x9d73…216b SELL No $64.46 8h ago
  • 0x33ef…e619 SELL No $146.00 9h ago
  • 0x9125…fa8d SELL No $3.99 9h ago
  • 0xf803…f309 SELL No $4.31 9h ago
  • 0xcf6a…f9d0 BUY Yes $40.00 13h ago
  • 0xb8b4…1f6e BUY No $222.88 16h ago
  • 0x5739…5f1a BUY No $440.98 16h ago
  • 0xe234…304a BUY No $1840.00 16h ago
  • 0x57ec…885b BUY No $1.00 17h ago
  • 0x9094…dcab BUY No $1.86 17h ago
  • 0x6206…cf4c BUY No $1.00 17h ago
  • 0x61af…c770 BUY No $4.80 17h ago
  • 0x4641…e469 BUY No $2.00 17h ago
  • 0xcc3c…478a SELL No $1.21 17h ago
  • 0x191e…ef6b BUY No $135.22 18h ago
  • 0x6630…2f4e BUY No $920.00 18h ago
  • 0xb226…4163 BUY No $6.60 18h ago
  • 0xbd14…76b4 SELL No $253.09 19h ago
  • 0x1e6f…6b2a SELL No $3.80 19h ago
  • 0x8f41…260e BUY No $276.00 20h ago
  • 0x57ec…885b BUY No $1.00 20h ago
  • 0x51de…9e4a BUY Yes $100.00 20h ago
  • 0x51de…9e4a BUY Yes $90.00 20h ago
  • 0x371c…c236 SELL Yes $46.03 22h ago
  • 0xd2e5…0f0e SELL No $177.32 23h ago
  • 0xbcd3…1a5a BUY Yes $9.36 Jul 22
  • 0xd9eb…75ce SELL No $6.42 Jul 22
  • 0xdbd0…8c1c SELL Yes $108.24 Jul 22
  • 0x3237…5658 SELL No $25.54 Jul 22
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $76.00 Jul 22

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a memorandum of understanding ending the immediate conflict and establishing a 60-day framework for negotiating a final agreement. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces its termination of participation in the negotiation process toward the final agreement contemplated by the June 14, 2026 MOU between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A termination means a definitive end to the United States' participation in the negotiation process as a whole. A temporary suspension, pause, or adjournment of negotiations, however open-ended or indefinite, does not constitute a termination unless it is itself clearly and unambiguously framed as a definitive end to participation. A conditional withdrawal, in which the United States announces it is ending participation subject to or contingent on any future event or condition, does not constitute termination. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government's present termination of participation in the negotiation process, previously-unannounced prior termination of participation in the negotiation process, or definitive decision to terminate participation in the negotiation process. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the United States' termination of participation in the negotiation process. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe such termination, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the MOU or the negotiation process by name; an announcement of a resumption of prior obligations, the maintenance of a status quo, or a return to a previously agreed baseline qualifies, provided the substantive policy of termination of the negotiation process is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: - Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; - Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States government; - Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States government will announce or terminate participation in negotiations; - Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; - Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional termination rather than announcing a present and decided position; - Walkouts, boycotts, or refusals to attend a specific meeting that do not clearly announce a termination of the overall negotiation process; and - Indirect communications through mediators that do not constitute a direct official announcement from the United States. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the United States actually ceases participation in negotiations. Resolution will be based on official information from the United States government, including the President, the Department of State, and the National Security Council, or the official representatives of the United States government.

Comments

ArieLethal Jul 18

Go to the market. Will Israel close the sky until. It's worth buying. Yes, you can make a profit.

CaoYuzhuo Jul 18

How tf did US not announce withdrawal??? It's all over the news!! This is rigged!!

RetoSchabloni Jul 14

still don't get it why its not a yes...

usurper55 Jul 15

i guess because the US did not announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations.

CaoYuzhuo Jul 18

Tf you talking about??👎

oopslostmoney Jul 13

Spider-Pig, Spider-Pig, Does whatever a Spider-Pig does. Can he swing from a web? No, he can't, he's a pig, Look out, he is a Spider-Pig!

hyper-liquid-xyz Jul 11

Last opportunity to sell YES. US is demanding the easiest demand for Iran to apologize for actions in Hormuz. Once this happens, there will be more talks and less bombs.

Moly-Parket365 Jul 10

UMA announces withdrawal from MOU negotions by...?

Moly-Parket365 Jul 10

UMA announces withdrawal from MOU negotions by..

Anheru Jul 10

, U.S. President Donald Trump declared the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Iran is "over"

Grocerystore. Jul 10

The following do not qualify- Walkouts, boycotts, or refusals to attend a specific meeting that do not clearly announce a termination of the overall negotiation process; and - Indirect communications through mediators that do not constitute a direct official announcement from the United States.

Grocerystore. Jul 10

Just this one rule . Don’t let your “whales” try to exploit loopholes and cheat people out of money again.

Anheru Jul 10

Nigga shut up

lox-frogs Jul 11

Bosaurum gone. #thiefsznover

Anheru Jul 10

How can propose I’ll do it right now I swear 😭

Anheru Jul 10

Mou is over this should be a yes 😒😒

toti100 Jul 10

נו הפסקת האש נגמרה

0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-1767915763461 Jul 10

I red the rules carefully, Trump said Mou is over then now he said ceasefire is over , and this exact ceasefire take place only thanks to Mou. That's mean it's really over

0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-1767915763461 Jul 10

Mou is over , now ceasefire is over ....and ceasefire happened because the Mou is so i think it's solid yes

mysitio Jul 9

We need to watch for a more official and consistent announcement unlike the one Trump made when he said: "Now, I will let our wonderful negotiators (Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner) keep talking, if they want." This statement is crucial because It is not a definitive withdrawal: Although Trump says he personally does not want to negotiate, he is explicitly authorizing his team to continue the process. This contradicts the notion of a complete end to U.S. involvement.

nukecoin- Jul 9

If anyone makes a proposal, it will be a YES, just like in the permanent peace deal

ArieLethal Jul 8

It's a quick buy, yes.

0xdD4E7DEE6426Da9846e791B15874698D222C2dE0-1771538109331 Jul 8

How is this not resolved? The criteria is met. A qualifying US official (Trump) publicly stated “as far as I’m concerned the MOU is over” what are we doing Polymarket?

Ardalof Jul 8

New scam

abdoohl Jul 8

As far as im concerned its over

Moly-Parket365 Jul 8

There is permanent peace ✌️

0xDb3c6ee33836E7CBeE7b700BF5c49Ee350188E0b-1779569817758 Jul 8

BREAKING: The US president tells reporters at the NATO summit in Ankara that he thinks the memorandum of understanding with Iran is “over” (Al Jazeera) GG

arsenelupin Jul 8

Oil prices jumped 6% after Trump declared the ceasefire with Iran “over”

Twixin Jul 8

NO holders are done LMAO

Camal Jul 8

Yeah they are in for great debt

lox-frogs Jul 8

Beware holders of 20 shares talking about the other side being "done". free alfa4u

Twixin Jul 8

Money is money and shares is shares grow up man

NOIZYUV Jul 8

The following do not qualify: "Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional termination rather than announcing a present and decided position;"

Toncar16 Jul 8

“To me, I think it’s over. I don’t want to deal with them anymore. They’re scum… They are sick people. They are led by sick people. And they are vicious violent people.” With those words, President Donald Trump effectively declared the June memorandum of understanding with Iran finished

NOIZYUV Jul 8

nope. He also said "I will let our negotiators keep talking if they want"

Mikelious Jul 8

TRUMP JUST ANNOUNCED WITHDRAWAL FROM THE MOU AND CALLED IT "A WASTE OF TIME"

NOIZYUV Jul 8

Nope he did NOT say that. He did call it a waste of time and said "ceasefire is over, I think". He did not announce a withdrawal

testiclepulveriser Jun 24

You mean withdrawal from the "permanent peace deal" correct? As that market resolved to yes

Roeman Jun 30

Read the rules next time

testiclepulveriser Jul 1

The MoU said cessation of all hostilites however only temporarily for 60 day negotiation period and not permanently. Everybody knew this but it didnt matter cause the whales already decided "close enough" and forced the yes.

Roeman Jul 1

The mou said the end of the all hostilities. Nothing about resuming fighting.

testiclepulveriser Jul 1

Of course they don´t have to say "if this ends we go back to fighting" that goes without saying. If a 60 day negotiation period is given and it ends without success, it NECESSARILY means that the MoU is off and pre MoU conditions (hostilities) are back. If they would have written "indefinite" end to hostilities or "indefinite" negotiation period, it would have qualified.

Roeman Jul 1

The rules said a deal in which it says hostilities have permanently ended, which was clearly in the deal

nukecoin- Jun 23

clowns

DaddyCow Jun 23

Don't you mean "permanent peace deal" ???