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US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

Politics Vol $164,067 50 traders

Yes90%
No10%
$164,067 Vol. Politics
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
90% ▲ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $17.90 1h ago
  • 0x3036…2b44 SELL No $0.51 5h ago
  • 0x140a…8e8a SELL No $47.43 5h ago
  • 0x140a…8e8a SELL No $49.47 5h ago
  • 0x3036…2b44 SELL No $48.96 5h ago
  • 0x3036…2b44 SELL No $47.94 5h ago
  • 0x084f…cba3 BUY Yes $422.06 5h ago
  • 0xc676…2ba4 BUY Yes $435.53 5h ago
  • 0x9b58…37ac BUY Yes $431.03 5h ago
  • 0x94ab…cf48 BUY Yes $422.06 5h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $5.13 7h ago
  • 0x51de…9e4a SELL No $77.75 7h ago
  • 0xeec5…b6fe BUY Yes $20.80 11h ago
  • 0xe6ef…418d BUY No $27.32 19h ago
  • 0x734c…1d86 BUY No $6.04 23h ago
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL Yes $43.40 Jul 22
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $43.40 Jul 22
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL Yes $43.66 Jul 22
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $44.05 Jul 22
  • 0x073e…8416 SELL Yes $37.49 Jul 22
  • 0xe6ef…418d BUY No $50.00 Jul 22
  • 0x00b1…0533 BUY No $5.80 Jul 22
  • 0x1ab5…4859 BUY No $1.00 Jul 21
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $5.30 Jul 21
  • 0x198a…3ca3 BUY Yes $88.50 Jul 21

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

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