US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
Recent trades
25- 0xb16b…3a57 BUY Yes $10.00 4h ago
- 0xb16b…3a57 SELL No $193.72 4h ago
- 0x46b1…428c SELL No $4.04 4h ago
- 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $47.95 4h ago
- 0x167a…91d5 SELL No $73.22 4h ago
- 0x2f77…4b79 SELL No $31.43 4h ago
- 0x30d1…4525 SELL No $246.68 4h ago
- 0x2f77…4b79 SELL No $48.55 4h ago
- 0x30d1…4525 SELL No $384.32 4h ago
- 0x1e9c…e3fe BUY No $6.00 21h ago
- 0x591b…54e7 BUY No $3.00 Jul 22
- 0x167a…91d5 SELL No $12.17 Jul 22
- 0x167a…91d5 SELL No $85.60 Jul 22
- 0x167a…91d5 SELL No $85.62 Jul 22
- 0x4b87…d09a SELL No $582.49 Jul 22
- 0x50e9…13ac SELL Yes $11.41 Jul 22
- 0x6dff…a3b5 SELL Yes $11.41 Jul 22
- 0x5533…51ba SELL Yes $0.50 Jul 22
- 0x6ad8…134c SELL No $327.99 Jul 22
- 0x69d1…e441 SELL No $393.78 Jul 22
- 0xc189…6050 SELL No $374.14 Jul 22
- 0xef1b…a8d4 SELL No $347.63 Jul 22
- 0x238f…3015 SELL Yes $0.34 Jul 22
- 0x5c91…5ccc SELL Yes $0.01 Jul 21
- 0x84c3…35d4 SELL Yes $0.74 Jul 21
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
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