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USMCA extended in 2026?

Trump Vol $2,598 50 traders

Yes36%
No64%
$2,598 Vol. Trump
USMCA extended in 2026?
37% ▼ 5

Recent trades

25
  • 0x9bd7…96d3 SELL No $42.90 2h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $15.30 7h ago
  • 0xcb11…0d5e BUY No $144.57 7h ago
  • 0x126e…c360 SELL No $1.19 10h ago
  • 0xd026…d74b BUY No $40.00 11h ago
  • 0xba0f…1011 SELL Yes $0.64 19h ago
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL Yes $0.64 19h ago
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL Yes $0.64 19h ago
  • 0x239d…daeb BUY No $1.00 19h ago
  • 0x239d…daeb BUY No $3.00 19h ago
  • 0x08a6…f3cc BUY No $2.00 Jul 21
  • 0x239d…daeb BUY No $5.00 Jul 21
  • 0x4a74…7a5c SELL No $2.64 Jul 20
  • 0xf86c…ba99 BUY Yes $2.15 Jul 20
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $2.05 Jul 20
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $2.05 Jul 20
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $2.05 Jul 20
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $2.05 Jul 20
  • 0x22b6…56cb SELL Yes $2.75 Jul 20
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $2.00 Jul 19
  • 0xbea0…e19d BUY No $14.02 Jul 19
  • 0xbea0…e19d BUY No $6.27 Jul 19
  • 0xbea0…e19d BUY No $55.10 Jul 19
  • 0x08a6…f3cc BUY No $1.00 Jul 19
  • 0x5f70…8352 BUY No $1.00 Jul 18

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is formally extended by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying extension requires all three parties to formally extend the term of the agreement. This may occur through written confirmation of their wish to extend the term for a further period pursuant to USMCA Article 34.7, or through other formal means that clearly and definitively extend the term, such as a unanimous amendment of the agreement. An extension qualifies whether or not it also includes negotiated modifications to the original agreement. The following will not qualify: announcements unaccompanied by a formal extension; extension of individual provisions that does not extend the agreement's term itself; commitments to extend by fewer than all three parties; and replacement of the USMCA with a separate or successor agreement, as opposed to continuation of the existing agreement. The primary resolution source is official information from the United States, Canada, and Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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