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What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Jerome Powell Vol $1,673,936 50 traders

↓ 2.75%2%
↓ 3.0%3%
↓ 2.5%4%
↑ 5.25%3%
$1,673,936 Vol. Jerome Powell

Outcomes

21
Chance
↑ 5.0%
3%
↑ 5.5%
3%
↑ 5.25%
3%
↑ 4.5%
7%
↑ 4.75%
5%
↑ 4.25%
25%
↓ 2.0%
3%
↓ 1.0%
2%
↓ 1.25%
3% ▲ 1
↓ 1.5%
1% ▼ 1
↓ 1.75%
3%
↓ 0.75%
3%
↓ 0.5%
2%
↓ 0.25%
2%
↓ 0%
2%
↓ 2.25%
5%
↓ 2.5%
4%
↓ 2.75%
2%
↓ 3.0%
3%
↓ 3.25%
9% ▼ 6
↓ 3.5% Resolved
100%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $4.52 3h ago
  • 0xe215…1c22 BUY Yes $1.48 3h ago
  • 0x377d…dddd SELL Yes $2.29 19h ago
  • 0xa9a5…2756 SELL Yes $12.73 19h ago
  • 0xa9a5…2756 BUY Yes $13.47 21h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $37.55 Jul 22
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $37.55 Jul 22
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $15.02 Jul 22
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $15.02 Jul 22
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $37.60 Jul 22
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $15.27 Jul 22
  • 0x54e1…9d5a BUY Yes $134.89 Jul 22
  • 0xc537…88a2 SELL Yes $0.18 Jul 21
  • 0x36ef…3c3a SELL No $1.09 Jul 20
  • 0xf6a1…e373 SELL No $2.97 Jul 20
  • 0x312a…66b8 SELL Yes $4.40 Jul 20
  • 0xf6a1…e373 BUY No $3.00 Jul 19
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $1.71 Jul 18
  • 0x07f2…cddc SELL Yes $0.67 Jul 18
  • 0x59e1…d557 SELL No $5.10 Jul 18
  • 0xf524…8178 SELL Yes $1.01 Jul 17
  • 0x832b…5c91 BUY No $550.73 Jul 15
  • 0x23ed…aebc SELL Yes $2.42 Jul 14
  • 0x21d0…ce91 SELL No $571.78 Jul 14
  • 0xf22b…7eab SELL No $54.52 Jul 14
  • 0x0762…8e99 SELL Yes $0.32 Jul 14
  • 0x0762…8e99 SELL Yes $0.31 Jul 14
  • 0x3a1e…5bb5 SELL No $7.50 Jul 14
  • 0xf6ea…0a00 BUY No $28.59 Jul 14
  • 0x0711…f03c SELL Yes $0.87 Jul 14
  • 0x6ed5…b480 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 14
  • 0xf6ea…0a00 BUY No $1161.13 Jul 14
  • 0x6ed5…b480 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 14
  • 0x624b…56f8 SELL Yes $0.42 Jul 13
  • 0xee67…67a6 SELL Yes $2.19 Jul 13
  • 0x6e1a…971e SELL Yes $0.86 Jul 13
  • 0x167a…91d5 SELL No $2.53 Jul 13
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $2.54 Jul 13
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $2.56 Jul 13
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $10.67 Jul 13

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

Comments

Jeffrey-Einstein Jul 13

why is there no 4%

whumpa Jul 9

create for 2028

.nexaro Jun 17

you know where is drop?

whumpa Mar 22

I'm cooked

SatoshiBladerunner Dec 21

Watching a massive 500k sell-wall get chipped away. The buyers here have serious capital.

chgltk Dec 15

What the hell is over here 10% of free money?

Aldrach Dec 8

It'll be a slow walk down from where we are now. They want to hit the sweet spot, not crash anything. Expect a lot of little 0.25% cuts over the next two years.