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Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Tech Vol $374,838 50 traders

Anthropic64%
ByteDance0%
Moonshot2%
DeepSeek2%
$374,838 Vol. Tech

Outcomes

26
Chance
Google
13%
Anthropic
64% ▼ 1
OpenAI
11%
Alibaba
2%
Z.ai
1%
xAI
4%
DeepSeek
2%
Moonshot
2%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meta
4% ▼ 1
Amazon
<1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Company A
0%
Company B
0%
Company C
0%
Company D
0%
Company E
0%
Company F
0%
Company G
0%
Company H
0%
Company I
0%
Company K
0%
Other
0%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xcb95…611e BUY Yes $1.10 1h ago
  • 0xcb95…611e BUY Yes $1.30 1h ago
  • 0x42aa…7d26 SELL Yes $0.16 3h ago
  • 0x42aa…7d26 SELL Yes $0.35 3h ago
  • 0x3fea…96a4 BUY Yes $1.00 3h ago
  • 0x8535…25df SELL Yes $0.60 4h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $62.99 5h ago
  • 0x0739…aba8 SELL Yes $156.77 5h ago
  • 0xadaf…6eb9 BUY Yes $10.00 8h ago
  • 0x2b56…d1e1 BUY Yes $1.00 14h ago
  • 0x52ce…1da9 BUY Yes $100.00 14h ago
  • 0x2b56…d1e1 BUY Yes $1.00 14h ago
  • 0xe541…1870 SELL Yes $0.94 15h ago
  • 0x8594…7eed BUY Yes $20.00 15h ago
  • 0x1ca4…355b BUY Yes $1.00 17h ago
  • 0xe6f3…2568 BUY Yes $45.50 17h ago
  • 0x0be4…b548 BUY Yes $32.63 21h ago
  • 0x0be4…b548 BUY Yes $65.00 21h ago
  • 0x46b3…d3de SELL Yes $0.04 21h ago
  • 0xb6a7…eb01 BUY Yes $70.00 Jul 22
  • 0x42aa…7d26 SELL Yes $0.09 Jul 22
  • 0xe6f3…2568 BUY No $21.55 Jul 22
  • 0xe6f3…2568 BUY No $2.43 Jul 22
  • 0xc743…4cb7 SELL Yes $1.44 Jul 22
  • 0xe6f3…2568 SELL Yes $32.00 Jul 22
  • 0x5968…3fc4 SELL No $1.04 Jul 22
  • 0xe6f3…2568 SELL Yes $38.40 Jul 22
  • 0x2b56…d1e1 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 22
  • 0xe6f3…2568 BUY No $46.80 Jul 22
  • 0xb5f9…5267 BUY Yes $2.00 Jul 22
  • 0xd5ae…d62a BUY Yes $2.00 Jul 22
  • 0x1b5a…6369 BUY Yes $2.00 Jul 22
  • 0x5626…08c3 BUY Yes $13.00 Jul 22
  • 0xae8a…3652 BUY Yes $19.50 Jul 22
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $0.80 Jul 22
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $9.68 Jul 22
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $3.70 Jul 22
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $1.29 Jul 22
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $1.71 Jul 22
  • 0x38e5…95e7 BUY Yes $7.39 Jul 22

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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