Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
Outcomes
8Recent trades
40- 0x510f…a43c SELL No $17.42 1h ago
- 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $0.88 3h ago
- 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $0.62 3h ago
- 0x470b…52ab BUY No $9.33 4h ago
- 0xee67…67a6 BUY Yes $1.79 4h ago
- 0x21f7…e19f SELL Yes $3.41 4h ago
- 0x21f7…e19f SELL Yes $15.90 4h ago
- 0x21f7…e19f SELL Yes $0.56 4h ago
- 0x21f7…e19f SELL Yes $1.70 4h ago
- 0x4bbf…517e BUY Yes $5.00 8h ago
- 0x1bf7…6f57 SELL No $5.04 12h ago
- 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $12.28 17h ago
- 0x57e7…84e9 BUY Yes $2.38 17h ago
- 0xbd04…fbb0 BUY Yes $47.49 17h ago
- 0xfc2f…10c7 BUY Yes $14.44 17h ago
- 0x193f…d5ae SELL No $29.87 19h ago
- 0xea40…86b9 BUY No $4.95 20h ago
- 0xca08…1267 SELL No $2.70 20h ago
- 0x2130…ffb2 SELL No $0.02 20h ago
- 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $2.93 20h ago
- 0x22e2…aaf6 BUY Yes $1.00 21h ago
- 0x22e2…aaf6 BUY Yes $1.00 21h ago
- 0x2f77…4b79 BUY No $13.17 22h ago
- 0x30d1…4525 BUY No $131.72 22h ago
- 0x2a96…b382 SELL No $6.30 22h ago
- 0xca08…1267 SELL No $4.50 23h ago
- 0x2130…ffb2 SELL No $0.03 23h ago
- 0x46b3…d3de SELL Yes $0.45 23h ago
- 0xecad…ade0 BUY No $30.00 23h ago
- 0x5d0f…b0ed BUY No $30.00 23h ago
- 0xd5b3…3882 BUY No $30.00 23h ago
- 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $1.53 Jul 22
- 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $0.14 Jul 22
- 0xca08…1267 SELL No $5.40 Jul 22
- 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $0.50 Jul 22
- 0xbd4b…96c1 SELL No $0.01 Jul 22
- 0x2130…ffb2 SELL No $0.04 Jul 22
- 0xe66d…f84b SELL Yes $0.54 Jul 22
- 0x0314…2f6d BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 22
- 0xbd14…76b4 SELL Yes $0.80 Jul 22
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify. For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify. Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice. Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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