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Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

Oil Vol $110,379 50 traders

No Return to Normal Traffic…51%
July1%
December13%
August10%
$110,379 Vol. Oil

Outcomes

7
Chance
July
<1%
August
10%
September
12% ▲ 1
October
8% ▲ 1
November
9%
December
13% ▼ 4
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
51% ▲ 4

Recent trades

40
  • 0x45a2…3c01 BUY Yes $0.69 2h ago
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY No $4.60 8h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $10.72 9h ago
  • 0x300c…6a92 BUY Yes $0.90 9h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $18.78 9h ago
  • 0x300c…6a92 BUY Yes $10.00 9h ago
  • 0x45a2…3c01 BUY Yes $0.06 9h ago
  • 0x7d4d…8d70 SELL Yes $0.77 10h ago
  • 0xed16…51e3 BUY Yes $28.00 10h ago
  • 0xed16…51e3 BUY Yes $18.00 10h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $45.50 10h ago
  • 0xed16…51e3 BUY Yes $44.00 10h ago
  • 0xed16…51e3 BUY Yes $44.00 10h ago
  • 0x2132…7657 BUY Yes $22.00 16h ago
  • 0x4a7f…3797 SELL Yes $3.50 17h ago
  • 0xc602…7fc1 SELL No $233.09 18h ago
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL Yes $3.00 18h ago
  • 0x9bae…5d34 BUY No $45.50 Jul 22
  • 0x08a6…f3cc SELL Yes $4.36 Jul 22
  • 0x4b28…15df BUY Yes $8.00 Jul 22
  • 0x6b47…30ab BUY Yes $35.81 Jul 22
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL Yes $2.50 Jul 22
  • 0x45a2…3c01 BUY Yes $0.76 Jul 22
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $4.91 Jul 22
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $143.29 Jul 21
  • 0x7d4d…8d70 BUY Yes $1.26 Jul 21
  • 0x6139…6b7a BUY Yes $27.50 Jul 21
  • 0x6139…6b7a BUY Yes $58.95 Jul 21
  • 0xfc55…b21d SELL Yes $17.28 Jul 21
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $2.50 Jul 21
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $3.00 Jul 21
  • 0x511f…cbe1 SELL Yes $4.43 Jul 21
  • 0x458c…c504 SELL No $4.95 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.05 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.55 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.45 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.50 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.30 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.45 Jul 21
  • 0x5195…44eb BUY Yes $0.05 Jul 21

This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. The qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published. If data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date in the specified month, however, will not be considered. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Comments

Moly-Parket365 Jul 9

Which month UMA market scamming stop's??