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Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

Politics Vol $7,839 50 traders

Gavin Newsom20%
Andy Beshear23%
Pete Buttigieg11%
Kamala Harris13%
$7,839 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

12
Chance
Gavin Newsom
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Kamala Harris
13%
Josh Shapiro
1%
Pete Buttigieg
11%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Andy Beshear
23% ▼ 13
Rahm Emanuel
11%
Ro Khanna
9%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Other
50%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x5874…05f7 BUY Yes $1.30 Jul 22
  • 0x7ed3…27aa SELL Yes $2.93 Jul 21
  • 0x7ed3…27aa SELL Yes $0.39 Jul 21
  • 0x7ed3…27aa SELL Yes $4.35 Jul 21
  • 0xa667…ceb3 BUY Yes $3.80 Jul 20
  • 0xf524…8178 SELL No $32.00 Jul 19
  • 0xb924…0803 SELL No $8.02 Jul 19
  • 0xf2cf…464b SELL Yes $0.61 Jul 19
  • 0xb924…0803 SELL No $16.06 Jul 19
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $4.04 Jul 19
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $4.85 Jul 19
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $4.88 Jul 19
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $4.95 Jul 19
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $4.40 Jul 19
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $4.50 Jul 19
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $41.03 Jul 18
  • 0xc8ab…6418 SELL No $70.77 Jul 18
  • 0x6c2a…b7b5 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 18
  • 0x6c2a…b7b5 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 18
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $4.03 Jul 18
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $17.48 Jul 18
  • 0x764b…6bad BUY No $4.88 Jul 18
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $21.17 Jul 18
  • 0xfd55…f905 BUY No $4.50 Jul 18
  • 0x7ed3…27aa BUY Yes $1.40 Jul 18
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $19.72 Jul 18
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $21.45 Jul 18
  • 0x9f20…12c3 BUY No $4.95 Jul 18
  • 0xcfff…673d BUY No $4.55 Jul 18
  • 0x7ed3…27aa BUY Yes $1.68 Jul 18
  • 0x0380…073d BUY No $19.72 Jul 18
  • 0x7ed3…27aa BUY Yes $1.40 Jul 18
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $6.18 Jul 18
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $7.47 Jul 18
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $7.51 Jul 18
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $6.92 Jul 18
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $2.07 Jul 18
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $7.61 Jul 18
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $7.00 Jul 18
  • 0xb0c8…fe7f BUY No $2.09 Jul 18

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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