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Which of these republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

Politics Vol $5,241 50 traders

Ted Cruz34%
Marco Rubio8%
J.D. Vance10%
Vivek Ramaswamy4%
$5,241 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

11
Chance
J.D. Vance
11% ▼ 3
Marco Rubio
7% ▼ 1
Ron DeSantis
29% ▲ 2
Donald Trump
1% ▼ 1
Donald Trump Jr.
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Ted Cruz
34% ▲ 12
Rand Paul
23%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
2% ▼ 1
Other
50%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x2d78…5b09 BUY Yes $3.00 23h ago
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $1.44 Jul 22
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $1.42 Jul 22
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $14.00 Jul 22
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $1.08 Jul 22
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $1.45 Jul 22
  • 0x4f1d…8de2 BUY No $1.46 Jul 22
  • 0x1ee9…197f BUY Yes $12.00 Jul 22
  • 0xe215…1c22 BUY Yes $1.40 Jul 22
  • 0xeace…38b9 SELL Yes $5.20 Jul 22
  • 0xcb14…5358 BUY No $19.00 Jul 22
  • 0xcb14…5358 BUY No $7.60 Jul 22
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY No $4.90 Jul 22
  • 0x5afc…2995 BUY No $1.88 Jul 22
  • 0x5afc…2995 BUY No $1.92 Jul 22
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $4.70 Jul 22
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY No $4.60 Jul 22
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.32 Jul 22
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $10.20 Jul 22
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $4.75 Jul 22
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY No $4.75 Jul 22
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.20 Jul 22
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $10.64 Jul 22
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $8.20 Jul 22
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $3.70 Jul 22
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $7.40 Jul 22
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $4.90 Jul 22
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.80 Jul 22
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.80 Jul 22
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $4.90 Jul 22
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $10.86 Jul 22
  • 0x2b59…9db6 BUY No $4.90 Jul 22
  • 0xfbd8…4027 BUY No $9.72 Jul 22
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY No $4.80 Jul 22
  • 0x8fe7…6c1f BUY No $3.70 Jul 22
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $10.86 Jul 22
  • 0xb546…ca22 BUY No $10.64 Jul 22
  • 0x8e1f…991b SELL Yes $5.36 Jul 22
  • 0x8e1f…991b SELL Yes $0.40 Jul 22
  • 0x38a5…5eb9 BUY No $30.00 Jul 22

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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