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Chance
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Gavin Newsom13%
Hunter Biden6%
Kamala Harris12%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez7%
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Outcomes
72Candace Owens Resolved
0%
Gavin Newsom
13%
▼ 1
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
▲ 2
Pete Buttigieg
14%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
13%
▲ 1
Kamala Harris
12%
Gretchen Whitmer
6%
Andy Beshear
11%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Mark Cuban
8%
J.B. Pritzker
9%
Raphael Warnock
7%
Cory Booker
9%
Tim Walz
6%
Michelle Obama
2%
Mark Kelly
10%
Rahm Emanuel
12%
Gina Raimondo
4%
Zohran Mamdani
3%
Roy Cooper
2%
John Fetterman
3%
Jared Polis
5%
▼ 1
Jon Stewart
4%
Barack Obama
2%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Liz Cheney
2%
Bernie Sanders
2%
Phil Murphy
<1%
LeBron James
2%
▼ 1
Hunter Biden
6%
George Clooney
7%
Chelsea Clinton
2%
MrBeast
3%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
6%
Andrew Yang
<1%
Beto O’Rourke
2%
Kim Kardashian
4%
Donald Trump
6%
J.D. Vance
5%
Marco Rubio
6%
▲ 1
Tulsi Gabbard
6%
Glenn Youngkin
5%
Donald Trump Jr.
6%
Ron DeSantis
7%
Nikki Haley
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
7%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%
Greg Abbott
5%
Brian Kemp
10%
Byron Donalds
2%
▼ 1
Elise Stefanik
4%
Josh Hawley
2%
Ted Cruz
4%
▼ 1
Elon Musk
5%
Matt Gaetz
9%
Katie Britt
1%
John Thune
6%
Kristi Noem
4%
Mike Pence
<1%
Tucker Carlson
11%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%
Ivanka Trump
4%
Tom Brady
5%
Rand Paul
8%
Steve Bannon
11%
Erika Kirk
6%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%
▼ 2
Candace Owens
9%
Don Lemon
13%
▲ 1
Recent trades
40- 0xcceb…9f02 BUY No $5.01 2h ago
- 0x0c04…4d02 BUY No $5.49 3h ago
- 0x9c9a…890b BUY No $6.43 3h ago
- 0x4a80…e1ee BUY Yes $37.90 16h ago
- 0xb042…14f3 SELL Yes $4.00 Jul 22
- 0x662b…eb47 SELL Yes $2.03 Jul 22
- 0x7a8f…d9ee SELL Yes $0.35 Jul 22
- 0x8fc4…8e00 SELL Yes $7.04 Jul 21
- 0xc624…ee24 SELL No $157.76 Jul 21
- 0xdc4d…f2c9 BUY No $1.00 Jul 21
- 0xdc4d…f2c9 BUY No $1.00 Jul 21
- 0x686d…1a68 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 21
- 0xa667…ceb3 BUY No $88.45 Jul 21
- 0xc911…a7ff SELL No $5.51 Jul 20
- 0x07bb…fcca SELL No $21.26 Jul 20
- 0x6406…bc04 SELL No $0.53 Jul 20
- 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $307.02 Jul 20
- 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $37.41 Jul 20
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $26.10 Jul 20
- 0xee54…f617 BUY Yes $70.65 Jul 20
- 0x39e1…2c83 SELL Yes $9.10 Jul 20
- 0xd762…276c SELL Yes $4.01 Jul 19
- 0x6195…b55a SELL No $1.57 Jul 19
- 0x6406…bc04 SELL No $39.10 Jul 19
- 0x6406…bc04 SELL No $30.45 Jul 19
- 0x571a…1668 SELL Yes $4.06 Jul 19
- 0xc2f5…8ce9 SELL Yes $4.85 Jul 19
- 0xda20…cb8d SELL Yes $3.50 Jul 18
- 0x43fd…59d3 SELL Yes $2.10 Jul 18
- 0x686d…1a68 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 18
- 0xa86f…022c SELL Yes $2.10 Jul 18
- 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL Yes $6.50 Jul 18
- 0x39e1…2c83 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 17
- 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $1.89 Jul 17
- 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $2.05 Jul 17
- 0x1d1a…324e SELL Yes $26.00 Jul 17
- 0xab3b…59da BUY Yes $5.18 Jul 17
- 0x3669…b4bd BUY Yes $3.31 Jul 17
- 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL Yes $3.80 Jul 17
- 0x9592…a8fd SELL Yes $4.80 Jul 17
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comments
From Hunter today on X "Just saying... No Democrat has won the White House this century without a Biden on the ticket."
Hunter Biden will be announcing a run for President. He's started doing interviews, just posted on X for the first time in years after deleting his account. His first post writes "I'm Hunter Biden. You've never actually heard from me." Here begins the public relations campaign of the former president's son as he prepares a Presidential run. Will he win? Who knows, but long odds isn't stopping Kamala from running either.
Erika Kirk- this witch will go far.
dog take your meds you're tripin
Add Joe Kent
I'll tell you a joke. Why doesn't Shaquille O'Neal run for president? He'd win.
Mr. Beast is 27
Haha, who the f ck is voting yes for Barack? Do you not realize he legally cannot run for president again? Not that laws matter in the US any longer.
Musk also cannot run yet he has 10%.
But he can say will.
One thing is announcing he will, other is going factually. This market will solve with the first.
MTG at 9-1? Easiest bet on this site.
I agree, but the deadline is short...
Before 2027 is crazy
She is counter signaling the Trump admin on everything, lining herself up as the real MAGA. Even today she is pushing for "states rights" for AI not 16 hours after Trump says AI will be "woke" if each state sets its own standards. 2027 is close but they start running by summer 2026. At 9-1, really good odds compared to other options in this market.
bad selling timing dude...
His name is Cory Booker, not Corey.
On the GOP side, definitely look for Tim Scott and J.D. Vance to make early moves. For the Dems, if the current administration doesn't run, expect Gretchen Whitmer or someone new from the Cabinet.