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Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

AI Vol $10,022 50 traders

Alibaba15%
Hesai27%
CATL44%
DJI44%
$10,022 Vol. AI

Outcomes

10
Chance
Alibaba
15% ▲ 10
DJI
44%
YMTC
44% ▼ 4
CXMT
46% ▼ 1
Tencent
34%
CATL
44% ▼ 5
Hesai
27% ▲ 1
Baidu
47% ▲ 1
BYD
40% ▼ 2
Unitree
54% ▲ 4

Recent trades

40
  • 0xc602…7fc1 SELL No $4.09 18h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $48.52 18h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $15.52 19h ago
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $23.58 19h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $23.92 20h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $42.70 20h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $4.20 20h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $5.10 20h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $5.50 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $4.68 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $16.24 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb BUY Yes $11.85 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb BUY Yes $4.31 21h ago
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY No $4.35 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $0.45 21h ago
  • 0x9c90…17ef SELL Yes $4.25 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $4.00 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $9.00 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $0.55 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb BUY Yes $9.90 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $17.89 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb BUY Yes $0.77 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb BUY Yes $9.50 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $1.10 21h ago
  • 0x3cbf…cedb SELL Yes $4.00 21h ago
  • 0x4708…9580 SELL Yes $2.00 Jul 19
  • 0xad53…ef24 BUY Yes $7.31 Jul 18
  • 0xa2ef…4535 BUY No $17.27 Jul 18
  • 0xa2ef…4535 BUY No $26.39 Jul 17
  • 0x6b02…843c SELL No $9.69 Jul 17
  • 0xa2ef…4535 SELL No $57.04 Jul 17
  • 0x300c…6a92 SELL Yes $1.30 Jul 16
  • 0x300c…6a92 SELL Yes $3.00 Jul 16
  • 0x300c…6a92 SELL Yes $0.78 Jul 16
  • 0x300c…6a92 BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 16
  • 0x300c…6a92 BUY Yes $4.16 Jul 16
  • 0x2b73…174e SELL Yes $0.13 Jul 16
  • 0xba0f…1011 SELL No $16.80 Jul 16
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL No $16.80 Jul 16
  • 0xa2ef…4535 SELL No $33.60 Jul 16

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified company is fully removed from the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M. (Mac) Thornberry National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021” by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying removal occurs when the specified company named in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) no longer appears on an updated official Section 1260H list. A qualifying removal must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of delisting. Removal of a subsidiary or affiliate entry while the specified company remains listed will not qualify. Removal of a company will qualify even if formerly affiliated subsidiaries remain listed as separate entries. An entity that ceases to appear solely due to renaming, merger with another listed entity, or transfer of the designation to a successor, parent, or affiliate entity will not be considered removed. A removal will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn. For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the enforcement of its designation is suspended without being removed from the aforementioned list, that will not qualify as a removal. If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).

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