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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Science Vol $756,786 50 traders

Yu Deng95%
Hong Wang96%
Jack Thorne3%
John Pardon97%
$756,786 Vol. Science

Outcomes

11
Chance
Vesselin Dimitrov
<1% ▼ 1
Hong Wang
96% ▼ 1
Jacob Tsimerman
98%
John Pardon
97%
Julian Sahasrabudhe
<1% ▼ 1
Yu Deng
95% ▼ 1
Jack Thorne
3% ▼ 2
Sam Raskin
<1% ▼ 1
Will Sawin
<1% ▼ 1
Aleksandr Logunov
<1%
Alexander Efimov
<1% ▼ 2

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The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

Comments

0x58cC1547a0F833503da4CFFB8Bd584c1Ab807398-1783201377041 Jul 13

the leak appears to be fake. so free money haha

YesMannnn Jul 14

thanks for your donation

Fridius Jul 22

Actually, it appears to be very real.

SnowyYeti Jul 13

I don’t believe it’s true that the front-end engineer leaked the data. It’s likely a scam. Aleksandr Logunov’s achievements definitely deserve a Fields Medal.

Johndiiiick Jul 14

So you think the front-end engineer planted a fake winners list and a fake ceremony schedule just to scam everyone?😅

President-XI Jul 14

you are john wick not john diick

YesMannnn Jul 13

winners are Wang hong, Deng Yu, Tsimerman and Pardon😀

YesMannnn Jul 13

The list is already leaked

lohntsich Jul 13

什么渠道?在哪里可以看见?

plasma1 Jul 13

Leaked in ICM website