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Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

China Vol $2,174,147 50 traders

Yes13%
No88%
$2,174,147 Vol. China
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
13% ▲ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0xbff5…655b BUY Yes $20.00 51m ago
  • 0x60a5…f52e BUY Yes $30.00 2h ago
  • 0xf784…ab48 BUY Yes $171.20 4h ago
  • 0xc99e…3853 BUY Yes $1.00 4h ago
  • 0xc99e…3853 BUY Yes $12.00 4h ago
  • 0x4e4a…50ba BUY Yes $99.60 21h ago
  • 0xe8d6…d5db BUY No $14.00 21h ago
  • 0xfeb7…fd30 BUY No $10.12 22h ago
  • 0xf3ea…3039 SELL No $252.62 Jul 22
  • 0x60a5…f52e BUY Yes $20.00 Jul 22
  • 0xca8d…4548 BUY Yes $10.00 Jul 22
  • 0x60a5…f52e BUY Yes $30.00 Jul 22
  • 0x9d73…216b SELL No $46.64 Jul 22
  • 0x6df0…16a8 BUY Yes $50.40 Jul 22
  • 0xc99e…3853 BUY Yes $12.00 Jul 22
  • 0xeb0e…a1a7 BUY Yes $9.00 Jul 22
  • 0x0404…8353 SELL Yes $55.00 Jul 22
  • 0x0404…8353 BUY Yes $60.00 Jul 22
  • 0xa801…7310 SELL No $13.55 Jul 22
  • 0x8b45…077e SELL Yes $100.83 Jul 22
  • 0x30f8…b824 SELL No $115.78 Jul 22
  • 0xa4c3…bbb2 BUY No $147.00 Jul 22
  • 0x2e1e…cbce BUY No $35.00 Jul 22
  • 0x8b01…fb11 SELL Yes $0.44 Jul 22
  • 0x60a5…f52e BUY Yes $20.00 Jul 22

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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