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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

China Vol $387,956 50 traders

Yes10%
No90%
$387,956 Vol. China
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
10% ▲ 1

Recent trades

25
  • 0x4605…f32b SELL No $267.00 17m ago
  • 0x60a5…f52e BUY Yes $20.00 2h ago
  • 0xac2f…779d SELL No $305.17 7h ago
  • 0xac2f…779d SELL No $2.16 7h ago
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $24.00 16h ago
  • 0x60a5…f52e BUY Yes $30.00 Jul 22
  • 0x198a…3ca3 BUY No $273.00 Jul 22
  • 0x1b11…d469 BUY No $10.00 Jul 22
  • 0x8632…a7dc BUY No $1.00 Jul 22
  • 0x30f8…b824 SELL No $293.47 Jul 22
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $110.00 Jul 22
  • 0x3de2…d073 SELL Yes $1.16 Jul 21
  • 0x9476…d376 BUY No $3.00 Jul 21
  • 0xb6e3…4c92 BUY No $30.00 Jul 21
  • 0x1bad…63e9 BUY No $1000.00 Jul 21
  • 0x28d8…9e74 BUY No $23.71 Jul 21
  • 0x9f5b…96c7 SELL No $5460.00 Jul 21
  • 0x4d1b…769e BUY No $724.00 Jul 21
  • 0xc064…b454 BUY No $2.00 Jul 21
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $50.00 Jul 21
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $367.00 Jul 21
  • 0x55b2…e941 BUY Yes $144.00 Jul 21
  • 0x279c…2b82 SELL No $178.86 Jul 20
  • 0x40c5…5cba BUY Yes $45.00 Jul 20
  • 0x921d…efb8 SELL Yes $69.33 Jul 20

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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