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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

China Vol $1,408,027 50 traders

Yes1%
No99%
$1,408,027 Vol. China
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1%

Recent trades

25
  • 0x66a4…10d0 BUY No $326.27 35m ago
  • 0x66a4…10d0 SELL No $164.51 36m ago
  • 0x1c3f…05ae SELL No $599.39 42m ago
  • 0x9f7c…3e3b SELL No $10.01 2h ago
  • 0x96a7…9e8d BUY Yes $42.00 2h ago
  • 0xfdcb…7568 SELL No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0x2ecf…70cd SELL No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0xa699…5c54 SELL No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0xbdc2…8e00 SELL No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0xbdc2…8e00 BUY No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0xa699…5c54 BUY No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0xfdcb…7568 BUY No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0x2ecf…70cd BUY No $1.00 4h ago
  • 0x3148…dcf4 BUY No $19.74 5h ago
  • 0xd257…b354 SELL No $13.84 6h ago
  • 0x97aa…dcb6 SELL No $13.84 6h ago
  • 0xff77…4c78 SELL No $13.84 6h ago
  • 0x25cc…2cea SELL No $13.84 6h ago
  • 0xc529…0a6a SELL No $13.84 6h ago
  • 0xec45…039d SELL No $13.84 6h ago
  • 0xec45…039d BUY No $13.86 6h ago
  • 0xc529…0a6a BUY No $13.86 6h ago
  • 0xd257…b354 BUY No $13.86 6h ago
  • 0x25cc…2cea BUY No $13.86 6h ago
  • 0xff77…4c78 BUY No $13.86 6h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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