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Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

Privates Vol $101,791 50 traders

↑$180B95%
↑$170B96%
↓$125B4%
↑$190B79%
$101,791 Vol. Privates

Outcomes

12
Chance
↑$300B
6%
↑$250B
17% ▲ 2
↑$225B
40% ▲ 18
↑$200B
49% ▲ 1
↑$190B
79% ▲ 2
↑$180B
95% ▲ 7
↑$170B
96% ▲ 2
↑$160B Resolved
100% ▲ 6
↓$140B
9% ▼ 1
↓$135B
3% ▼ 2
↓$130B
3% ▼ 2
↓$125B
4% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x8df7…36c4 BUY No $57.13 1h ago
  • 0x8a21…fec3 BUY Yes $9.00 4h ago
  • 0xe53c…e569 BUY No $2.42 5h ago
  • 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $25.00 5h ago
  • 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $9.00 5h ago
  • 0x6ae0…7483 SELL Yes $53.33 5h ago
  • 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY No $78.86 6h ago
  • 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY Yes $69.49 6h ago
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $1.55 8h ago
  • 0x5fa1…1e03 BUY Yes $63.99 10h ago
  • 0x6ae0…7483 BUY Yes $202.02 11h ago
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $1.55 13h ago
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $1.55 15h ago
  • 0x5533…51ba BUY No $0.33 17h ago
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $2.20 17h ago
  • 0x4388…5050 SELL No $59.82 19h ago
  • 0xa211…c0e1 SELL Yes $0.94 22h ago
  • 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $25.00 Jul 22
  • 0x7e26…915c BUY Yes $3.30 Jul 22
  • 0x738a…5996 BUY Yes $33.00 Jul 22
  • 0x8a21…fec3 SELL Yes $11.00 Jul 21
  • 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $11.00 Jul 21
  • 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $15.00 Jul 21
  • 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY Yes $38.40 Jul 21
  • 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY No $21.84 Jul 21
  • 0xf3fa…7be3 BUY Yes $20.24 Jul 21
  • 0x2a21…d26a SELL Yes $11.00 Jul 21
  • 0x8a21…fec3 BUY Yes $12.00 Jul 21
  • 0xb891…e65a BUY Yes $61.54 Jul 21
  • 0x624b…56f8 SELL Yes $1.22 Jul 21
  • 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $11.50 Jul 21
  • 0xb891…e65a BUY Yes $15.35 Jul 20
  • 0xb891…e65a BUY Yes $191.40 Jul 20
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $3.00 Jul 20
  • 0xb1fe…423a BUY No $34.58 Jul 20
  • 0x8a21…fec3 SELL Yes $11.50 Jul 20
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $2.80 Jul 20
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $3.50 Jul 20
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $4.08 Jul 20
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $13.65 Jul 20

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Databricks' private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-53787f17-a704-47a9-895a-cb54833bdb1f/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

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