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Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Greenland Vol $57,356 50 traders

Yes5%
No95%
$57,356 Vol. Greenland
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
5%

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25
  • 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $0.14 3h ago
  • 0xb126…514b BUY No $7.00 7h ago
  • 0xe2a7…941e BUY No $12.00 9h ago
  • 0xf38c…633c SELL No $3.40 Jul 22
  • 0xcbe3…91e7 SELL No $4.00 Jul 22
  • 0xdece…f630 BUY No $5.32 Jul 22
  • 0xe31f…0c7e SELL No $1.97 Jul 21
  • 0x0314…2f6d SELL Yes $0.33 Jul 20
  • 0x75c5…870f SELL No $0.05 Jul 18
  • 0xd684…94c0 SELL No $0.27 Jul 18
  • 0x1f0a…f7aa SELL No $92.79 Jul 18
  • 0xae58…e5c5 SELL No $4.07 Jul 18
  • 0xd684…94c0 SELL No $0.02 Jul 18
  • 0x5923…49cd BUY No $8.30 Jul 18
  • 0xae58…e5c5 SELL No $4.83 Jul 18
  • 0xae58…e5c5 BUY No $2.97 Jul 17
  • 0xae58…e5c5 BUY No $2.97 Jul 17
  • 0xae58…e5c5 BUY No $2.97 Jul 17
  • 0x5923…49cd SELL No $8.31 Jul 17
  • 0xae58…e5c5 SELL No $2.98 Jul 17
  • 0x1241…d325 SELL No $0.99 Jul 17
  • 0x75c5…870f SELL No $0.14 Jul 17
  • 0xd684…94c0 SELL No $0.73 Jul 17
  • 0x1f0a…f7aa SELL No $249.17 Jul 17
  • 0x22e0…3adb BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 16

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of at least two NATO member states between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force, such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between the military forces of at least two NATO member states. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not. Note: For the purposes of this market, coast guard services or equivalent forces will be considered part of a country’s military only if they are officially designated as military forces under that country’s law or command structure; purely civilian or law-enforcement maritime agencies will not be considered military forces. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments

StrangBaniiLaCiorap Jun 20

does a special military operation count? 😅

DontTrustMe Apr 28

Not sure if there has ever been a military incident between two NATO countries that would qualify under these rules. 🤔

Jackkpa28 Apr 26

Jackkpa

JustTryin212 Jan 29

NATO IS COLLAPSING

Hemingwey Jan 24

The US said: Just tell me directly who I want to attack, or whether I want to attack them all at once.