← Markets

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Finance Vol $925,329 50 traders

↑$900B73%
↑$2.0T9%
↓$750B42%
↑$1.0T50%
$925,329 Vol. Finance

Outcomes

15
Chance
↑$3.0T
6%
↑$2.5T
7%
↑$2.0T
9% ▼ 1
↑$1.75T
13%
↑$1.5T
19% ▼ 1
↑$1.25T
32% ▼ 4
↑$1.0T
50% ▼ 6
↑$900B
73%
↓$800B
64% ▼ 2
↓$750B
42% ▼ 1
↓$700B
22% ▼ 8
↓$600B
11% ▼ 3
↓$500B
9% ▼ 1
↑$4.0T
2% ▼ 2
↑$5.0T
3%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $10.45 2h ago
  • 0x2a21…d26a SELL Yes $19.00 4h ago
  • 0x8a21…fec3 SELL Yes $31.62 4h ago
  • 0x07bb…fcca SELL No $23.25 6h ago
  • 0x6b49…2e46 SELL No $13.20 6h ago
  • 0xc911…a7ff SELL No $5.61 6h ago
  • 0x98e3…9208 SELL No $38.65 6h ago
  • 0x1f18…dc6d SELL No $13.98 6h ago
  • 0x3991…3d0f SELL No $16.65 6h ago
  • 0x42aa…7d26 SELL No $3.46 13h ago
  • 0x42aa…7d26 SELL No $4.10 13h ago
  • 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $17.50 15h ago
  • 0x7994…c512 BUY No $7.80 15h ago
  • 0x7994…c512 BUY No $10.40 15h ago
  • 0x7994…c512 BUY No $10.40 15h ago
  • 0x7994…c512 BUY No $10.40 15h ago
  • 0x8a21…fec3 SELL Yes $8.06 16h ago
  • 0xe8d6…e410 SELL Yes $101.09 21h ago
  • 0x8a21…fec3 SELL Yes $10.17 Jul 22
  • 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $8.29 Jul 22
  • 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $10.50 Jul 22
  • 0xc4fa…842c BUY No $1.00 Jul 22
  • 0x198a…3ca3 BUY No $64.93 Jul 22
  • 0x198a…3ca3 BUY No $79.66 Jul 22
  • 0x2892…71dd SELL Yes $6.83 Jul 21
  • 0xd96a…d8ce SELL Yes $0.90 Jul 21
  • 0xe8d6…e410 BUY Yes $12.60 Jul 21
  • 0x8a21…fec3 SELL Yes $7.20 Jul 21
  • 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $6.00 Jul 21
  • 0xe8d6…e410 BUY Yes $100.00 Jul 21
  • 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $7.20 Jul 21
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $10.08 Jul 20
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.80 Jul 20
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $2.40 Jul 20
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $4.50 Jul 20
  • 0x2924…dcde BUY No $450.00 Jul 20
  • 0xfe68…0fe2 SELL Yes $7.20 Jul 20
  • 0x975d…01be SELL Yes $3.22 Jul 20
  • 0x975d…01be BUY Yes $4.00 Jul 20
  • 0x2a21…d26a SELL Yes $3.03 Jul 20

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

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