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Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by July 31?

OpenAI Vol $31,479 50 traders

↓$800B6%
↑$950B1%
↑$1.5T3%
↑$900B11%
$31,479 Vol. OpenAI

Outcomes

10
Chance
↑$1.5T
3% ▲ 1
↑$1.25T
1%
↑$1.1T
2%
↑$1.0T
2%
↑$950B
1%
↑$900B
11% ▲ 2
↑$875B Resolved
100% ▲ 41
↓$850B Resolved
100% ▲ 31
↓$800B
6% ▼ 5
↓$725B
<1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0x8493…1200 BUY No $10.00 1h ago
  • 0x99fe…5705 BUY No $4.95 5h ago
  • 0xcceb…f030 SELL No $44.50 9h ago
  • 0x46b3…d3de SELL Yes $0.25 21h ago
  • 0x4ffe…9f71 BUY Yes $0.36 Jul 22
  • 0x18ac…a767 SELL No $297.16 Jul 22
  • 0xc759…b965 SELL Yes $1.00 Jul 20
  • 0xc759…b965 SELL Yes $8.49 Jul 20
  • 0xb88a…931c BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 20
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL Yes $2.17 Jul 20
  • 0x081a…66d0 SELL Yes $1.70 Jul 20
  • 0x18ac…a767 BUY No $287.80 Jul 20
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $37.41 Jul 19
  • 0x0822…6d3a BUY Yes $3.00 Jul 19
  • 0xc3c8…e29b BUY No $6.19 Jul 19
  • 0x72f3…92d6 SELL Yes $0.07 Jul 19
  • 0xc759…b965 SELL Yes $1.67 Jul 18
  • 0xc759…b965 SELL Yes $0.80 Jul 18
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $1.27 Jul 18
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.95 Jul 18
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.90 Jul 18
  • 0x72a2…7b65 BUY No $879.07 Jul 18
  • 0x9e45…3662 BUY No $35.00 Jul 18
  • 0x4067…6ffa SELL No $46.11 Jul 18
  • 0x6f67…102c SELL Yes $0.04 Jul 17
  • 0xc759…b965 SELL Yes $4.63 Jul 17
  • 0xb082…5138 SELL Yes $0.09 Jul 17
  • 0xb082…5138 BUY No $4.00 Jul 17
  • 0x7c9e…db3d BUY Yes $2.64 Jul 17
  • 0x241f…e15a BUY No $715.37 Jul 17
  • 0x9e45…3662 BUY No $33.84 Jul 17
  • 0x9e45…3662 BUY No $60.00 Jul 17
  • 0xb082…5138 SELL Yes $0.05 Jul 17
  • 0x241f…e15a BUY No $177.98 Jul 17
  • 0x241f…e15a BUY No $295.99 Jul 17
  • 0x7c9e…db3d BUY Yes $0.08 Jul 17
  • 0xc602…7fc1 SELL No $65.15 Jul 16
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.40 Jul 16
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.63 Jul 16
  • 0xc602…7fc1 BUY No $96.90 Jul 16

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on August 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on August 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

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