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Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

Geopolitics Vol $770,421 50 traders

September 300%
March 31, 20278%
December 310%
$770,421 Vol. Geopolitics

Outcomes

3
Chance
September 30 Resolved
0%
December 31 Resolved
0%
March 31, 2027
8% ▼ 1

Recent trades

40
  • 0x3f2d…2adc BUY Yes $8.00 8h ago
  • 0x8029…bafc SELL Yes $0.26 9h ago
  • 0xb8b4…1f6e SELL Yes $3.40 9h ago
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $2.10 9h ago
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $18.09 9h ago
  • 0x5739…5f1a SELL Yes $32.00 9h ago
  • 0x8029…bafc SELL Yes $0.11 Jul 22
  • 0xb8b4…1f6e SELL Yes $1.46 Jul 22
  • 0xe7d2…70a2 SELL No $135.44 Jul 22
  • 0x8029…bafc SELL Yes $0.43 Jul 21
  • 0xb8b4…1f6e SELL Yes $5.79 Jul 21
  • 0x99ff…8182 SELL No $1077.78 Jul 21
  • 0x390e…d25d SELL No $9.10 Jul 17
  • 0x87f8…b109 SELL Yes $4.00 Jul 15
  • 0xe457…5ab3 SELL Yes $3.50 Jul 15
  • 0xb8b4…1f6e SELL Yes $2.57 Jul 15
  • 0x8029…bafc SELL Yes $0.22 Jul 15
  • 0x5739…5f1a SELL Yes $24.00 Jul 15
  • 0xe550…ef79 SELL No $1071.51 Jul 14
  • 0xd25b…9f3d SELL No $96.72 Jul 14
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL No $28.20 Jul 14
  • 0xd25b…9f3d BUY No $439.87 Jul 14
  • 0xb8b4…1f6e SELL Yes $6.47 Jul 14
  • 0x8029…bafc SELL Yes $0.47 Jul 14
  • 0x5739…5f1a SELL Yes $52.50 Jul 14
  • 0x1f0a…f7aa BUY No $2681.33 Jan 1
  • 0xafa2…e7c0 BUY No $28.24 Jan 1
  • 0x2763…5eed BUY No $1.00 Dec 31
  • 0xcfc4…6f2d BUY No $1.00 Dec 31
  • 0x2e69…200e SELL No $1.00 Dec 30
  • 0xc171…aa19 BUY No $1.00 Dec 30
  • 0x52ca…2453 BUY No $1.00 Dec 29
  • 0xfaf5…75e5 BUY No $1.00 Dec 29
  • 0x13ff…59dd BUY No $125.72 Dec 29
  • 0xc8b2…91c1 BUY No $87.32 Dec 29
  • 0xa5dd…a752 BUY No $104.19 Dec 29
  • 0xcff2…9e97 BUY No $86.67 Dec 29
  • 0x8a23…3179 BUY No $95.24 Dec 29
  • 0xf007…bb32 BUY No $88.56 Dec 29
  • 0xa77b…87f8 BUY No $83.30 Dec 29

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Sumy railroad station located on Pryvokzalna ploscha by September 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+train+station.jpg Sumy Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/sumy+location.jpg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/vd3fmfpUTB6BooEb9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

Comments

.merion Jun 17

you know where is drop?

Quilty Mar 11

Its over

deherminator Jan 29

Oh man I thought this market was for 2026. Didn't read well enough :/ All the other ones are for 26. Pffff

OtaBenga Jan 11

No chance