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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Military Strikes Vol $46,297,583 925 traders

Yes30%
No71%
$46,297,583 Vol. Military Strikes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
30%

Recent trades

25
  • 0x9343…8fd4 BUY No $11.24 3m ago
  • 0xf518…5023 BUY Yes $95.00 4m ago
  • 0x9343…8fd4 BUY No $11.83 8m ago
  • 0x9343…8fd4 BUY No $11.83 9m ago
  • 0xfb9a…8bc4 BUY Yes $100.00 9m ago
  • 0x9343…8fd4 BUY No $29.58 12m ago
  • 0xeda8…6ca8 BUY Yes $250.00 13m ago
  • 0x9343…8fd4 BUY No $6.55 13m ago
  • 0x54ad…93cc BUY Yes $55.39 14m ago
  • 0x9343…8fd4 BUY No $11.83 17m ago
  • 0xfb9a…8bc4 BUY Yes $100.00 17m ago
  • 0xdf44…3a7e SELL Yes $2.90 33m ago
  • 0xdf44…3a7e BUY Yes $3.00 36m ago
  • 0xef1d…028e BUY Yes $2.00 40m ago
  • 0x9343…8fd4 BUY No $5.68 41m ago
  • 0x9697…0b38 SELL No $112.00 41m ago
  • 0x4c57…1cef SELL No $7.00 45m ago
  • 0x31e8…08ef BUY Yes $9.00 49m ago
  • 0x9343…8fd4 BUY No $6.53 1h ago
  • 0x5449…992b SELL No $1.85 1h ago
  • 0xb40b…9d26 SELL No $2.34 1h ago
  • 0xf2b6…7576 SELL No $3.64 1h ago
  • 0x8312…d15b SELL No $1.00 1h ago
  • 0xe750…4850 SELL No $11.88 1h ago
  • 0x9a3e…3f8c SELL No $3.32 1h ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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