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Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Politics Vol $25,523 50 traders

June 300%
December 3114%
July 311%
$25,523 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

3
Chance
December 31
14%
June 30 Resolved
0%
July 31
1%

Recent trades

40
  • 0xdc4f…4652 BUY No $282.75 Jul 21
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL Yes $0.54 Jul 19
  • 0x5a69…81a8 BUY Yes $1.00 Jul 18
  • 0x510f…a43c SELL Yes $0.45 Jul 18
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL Yes $0.50 Jul 18
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL Yes $0.61 Jul 18
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL Yes $0.58 Jul 18
  • 0xae7d…058f SELL Yes $0.64 Jul 18
  • 0x764a…83d3 SELL Yes $0.52 Jul 18
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL Yes $0.50 Jul 18
  • 0xdc4f…4652 BUY No $794.27 Jul 18
  • 0x7ff5…3489 BUY No $6.66 Jul 17
  • 0xda20…cb8d SELL No $48.78 Jul 16
  • 0xf33e…0ab8 SELL No $48.75 Jul 16
  • 0xc8a2…c9b6 SELL No $48.75 Jul 16
  • 0xa815…9cbe BUY Yes $1.28 Jul 16
  • 0xcb58…ccd0 SELL No $48.75 Jul 16
  • 0x2a20…89d2 SELL No $48.75 Jul 16
  • 0xdf3f…0aa4 SELL No $48.75 Jul 16
  • 0xb521…18f6 BUY Yes $24.71 Jul 16
  • 0xc3fc…484a SELL No $34.80 Jul 15
  • 0xb41e…11fd BUY Yes $5.20 Jul 15
  • 0x40c7…b1e8 SELL Yes $0.12 Jul 12
  • 0xb2ca…cf4d SELL Yes $0.05 Jul 12
  • 0x45e6…c078 SELL Yes $0.11 Jul 12
  • 0x067a…3821 SELL Yes $0.36 Jul 12
  • 0x067a…3821 SELL Yes $0.84 Jul 12
  • 0xb2ca…cf4d SELL Yes $0.12 Jul 12
  • 0x489a…fff2 SELL Yes $0.36 Jul 12
  • 0x067a…3821 BUY Yes $1.35 Jul 10
  • 0x9d73…216b BUY No $60.14 Jul 9
  • 0xefdd…8370 BUY No $43.00 Jul 8
  • 0xefdd…8370 BUY No $77.28 Jul 8
  • 0xd52b…5c72 BUY No $59.75 Jul 6
  • 0x9d73…216b BUY No $67.20 Jul 6
  • 0x5146…ac5e SELL Yes $1.06 Jul 4
  • 0x1411…2410 BUY No $39.48 Jul 3
  • 0x1411…2410 BUY No $43.99 Jul 3
  • 0x1411…2410 BUY No $41.50 Jul 3
  • 0xbe3d…4dc6 BUY Yes $10.10 Jul 3

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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